While Washington Fiddles, Calif. Leaders Forge Ideas For Universal Health Care
As the nation’s Republican leaders huddle to reconsider their plans to ārepeal and replaceā the nationās health law, advocates for universal health coverage press on in California, armed with renewed political will and a new set of proposals.
Organized labor and two lawmakers are leading the charge for a single, government-financed program for everyone in the state. Another legislator wants to create a commission that would weigh the best options for a system to cover everyone. And Democratic Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom, who hopes to become the next governor, has suggested building on employer-based health care to plug holes in existing coverage.
The proposals are fueled both by a fear of losing gains under the Affordable Care Act and a sense that the law doesnāt go far enough toward covering everyone and cutting costs.
But heath policy experts say that creating any type of universal health plan would face enormous political and fiscal challenges ā and that if it happens at all, it could take years.
āThere are different ways to get there,ā says Jonathan Oberlander, professor of social medicine and health policy at the University of North Carolina. āNone of them is easy.ā
The most specific California proposal comes from state Sens. Ricardo Lara (D-Bell Gardens) and Toni Atkins (D-San Diego), co-authors of legislation that would take steps toward creating one publicly financed āsingle-payerā program.
The bill, co-sponsored by the California Nurses Association, would aim for something like a system of āMedicare for allā in which the government, not insurers, provides payments and sets coverage rules.
Lara said the approach would get California closer to a system āthat covers more and costs less.ā
The billās authors havenāt announced how the program would be funded. And thatās where the biggest obstacle lies, saidĀ Oberlander: It would largely uproot Californiaās present system, in which is sponsored by employers.
If āyouāre going to take health insurance largely out of the market, youāre going to disconnect it from employers,ā he said. “Then you have to make up all the financing that youāre going to lose.ā
Thereās no way to make up for those lost employer contributions other than to introduce āvery visible taxes,ā Oberlander said. And thatās not the only reason why a single payer plan would be controversial. āA lot of people are satisfied with what they have,ā he said.
The trade group for insurers in California does not support the single-payer idea.
āA single-payer system would make the quality of our health care worse, not better,ā said Charles Bacchi, president and CEO of the California Association of Health Plans. āWeāve made substantial progress in expanding and increasing access to and quality of care ā this step backwards would be particularly devastating for Californians.ā
Many conservatives oppose the single-payer approach. āWe have come to value and expect a health care system that has private-sector market elements,ā said Lanhee Chen, a fellow at the Hoover Institution and former chief policy adviser to former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney.
A single-payer system would need federal approval and likely have to overcome other bureaucratic hurdles even if approved in the state. As it stands, . Perhaps the best-known effort to create one was in Vermont, but it failed in 2014 after officials there couldnāt figure out how to finance it.
Single-payer proposals have been put forth many times in the California Legislature since 2003, and all have hit roadblocks.
One bill, carried by former state senator Sheila Kuehl several years ago and passed by the state Legislature, would have created a payroll tax to help fund a program costing about $200 billion each year. That measure and a similar bill were vetoed by then-governor Arnold Schwarzenegger, who cited financial concerns.
Kuehl, now a Los Angeles County supervisor, said the time is as good as ever to reintroduce a proposal like single-payer because many people fear losing coverage under Republican proposals being discussed in Washington, D.C.
āThe ACA created more familiarity with being insured,ā said Kuehl. āTheyāve recognized the value.ā
Other observers say attempts to expand access should not undermine efforts to preserve insurance gains under Obamacare. The threat to Medicaid or private insurance access is still real, they say.
āCalifornia should explore all options, [but] we should not do that if it means withdrawing support for protecting the ACA,ā said Jerry Kominski, director of the UCLA Center for Health Policy Research. āIt would take decades to get back to where we are now,ā he said.
In an interview with California Healthline, California Gov. Jerry Brown emphasized that financing a single-payer system would be a major challenge. Although he said he would entertain a conversation about a single-payer system, he did not say whether he would endorse creating one.
For one thing, it would require a new tax, which would have to be approved either by a two-thirds majority vote in the state Legislature or a simple-majority popular vote, he said. Even with the current Democratic supermajority, Brown said, there are always a few āoutliersā who wouldnāt support raising new revenues.
Brown leaves office in 2018, however, and Newsom, who hopes to succeed him, is looking into a creating a plan for universal coverage that would be an alternative to a single-payer system.
One option, according to Newsomās office, would be to use as a model the Healthy San Francisco program he introduced in 2007 as mayor. The city has used a combination of public money and contributions from employers and enrollees to plug holes in coverage and make primary care accessible to nearly everyone.
Newsom has acknowledged, however, that the San Francisco approach , and said he is open to other possibilities.
Using that model to expand health care statewide has some political advantages, Oberlander said, because it builds on the āstatus quo rather than radically restructuringā the current system.
Another California lawmaker proposes to keep the conversation going about universal health care, at least, by creating a commission that would make various recommendations to policymakers.
āWe have to be able to move on multiple tracks at once,ā said Assemblyman Rob Bonta (D-Oakland), who is carrying the bill to create the Health Care for All commission, which would convene in 2018.
The debate in Washington could actually produce some surprising opportunities for California and other states. The feds might, for instance, approve waivers to allow other types of experimentation within states. favor an approach in which each state decides on its own coverage system, within certain limits.
That could mean a retraction of coverage in some states, but in California it might open the door to a new model.
āIt is possible that some liberal-leaning states are going to do things that we didnāt think Ā possible before,ā Oberlander said.
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