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The Best COVID Warning System? Poop and Pooled Spit, Says One Colorado School

To get ahead of the coronavirus, Colorado State University in Fort Collins, Colorado, is experimenting with a combination of sewage monitoring and a lesser-known approach to pool testing. (Katie Wood/The Denver Post via Getty Images)

鈥檚 mornings now often start at 4 a.m., scanning the contents of undergraduates鈥 feces. Specifically, scanning the data on how much coronavirus they flushed into the shadows, destined to be extracted from 17 manholes connected to dorm buildings on Colorado State University鈥檚 Fort Collins campus.

鈥淭here are quite extensive numbers of poop jokes,鈥 said Wilusz, a CSU molecular biologist.

Emerging research infected people start shedding the coronavirus in their poop early in their infection, and possibly they begin shedding it from their mouths and noses. 鈥淚t means that we can catch them before they鈥檙e actually spreading the infection,鈥 she said.

In normal times, Wilusz studies stem cells and muscular dystrophy. Now, her team is on the front lines of defense against the massive COVID-19 outbreaks that, for a campus with 23,000 undergraduates alone, always seem to be lurking around the corner. The sewage review is part of a multipronged attack that includes the usual weapon of contact tracing plus a specialized 鈥減aired pooling鈥 form of testing saliva samples. So far, the school has had about 500 cases since the semester started, that of the only somewhat bigger University of Colorado-Boulder.

Amid scientific recommendations and a virus that still holds uncertainties, colleges across the country are taking a choose-your-own-adventure approach to COVID-19. For those holding in-person classes, the adventure includes an extra puzzle: how to concentrate a lot of people into one place without an outbreak tearing through the student body and spilling into the community, all without safety precautions that would break the bank. Testing is at the core of those plans.

鈥淎 lot of these institutions started testing just symptomatic students. And that is really not good, to put it bluntly, because as we鈥檝e seen over the past couple of months, students tend to be asymptomatic,鈥 said , an assistant professor at Davidson College in North Carolina who is leading tracking how universities are responding to the pandemic. 鈥淭he institutions that have been the most successful are ones that are testing every student at least once a week.鈥

According to data collected in mid-September, only about 6% of large universities with in-person classes are routinely testing all students, according to an of his group鈥檚 data. The University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign has been leading the pack, testing about 10,000 students each day using a . But it鈥檚 pricey. Despite driving down the cost of an individual test to about $10, , a chemist leading the effort, said the school is still spending about $1 million a week.

At Colorado State University, , co-chair of the school鈥檚 pandemic response team, said initially the school was paying $93 a pop to test students using the usual nose swab method.

鈥淲e quickly spent several million dollars on testing,鈥 said Lynn, who added that cost is just one limiting factor. 鈥淲e can鈥檛 test everybody in the community, you know, weekly or twice a week.鈥

Instead, a CSU molecular biologist and immunologist who typically studies , said his group recently figured out how to screen saliva for less than $20 a person. It involves pooling drool samples in a strategic way reminiscent of the children鈥檚 game Battleship.

Traditionally, involves mixing samples from multiple people and testing them all in one go, to save time and materials. If the pool comes back negative for the virus, everyone in the pool can be considered negative. If it鈥檚 positive, samples from each person in that pool must be retested. If there are high rates of infection, that means a .

Instead of pooling samples willy-nilly, Zabel and his colleagues are doing something he calls paired pooling: They start with an eight-by-eight grid of saliva from 64 people, arrayed almost like a Battleship board. Each person鈥檚 spit sample gets divided up and analyzed in two pools, one pool for the row it sits in and one for the column it sits in, for a grand total of 16 pools per grid.

If the test containing samples in Row A and the test containing samples from Column One appear positive, that would indicate that the person whose spit is in the A-1 slot is a positive case.

鈥淪o, it鈥檚 super easy if we鈥檝e got one positive among 64,鈥 said Zabel. In that case, they鈥檝e screened 64 people with just 16 tests. No retesting necessary.

Limited retesting is needed only if at least four pools come back positive.

They鈥檙e also using a than usual, in an effort to avoid competing for limited reagents, whose shortages have hampered labs nationwide.

Zabel said it takes between eight and 24 hours for results. However, some drawbacks exist. If retesting is necessary, total turnaround time could extend to three days. And if the outbreak were to grow beyond a certain point, in which at least 5% of people tested are positive, the process would become more cumbersome because they鈥檇 have to add more layers of testing.

It鈥檚 a shifting target and the university is continually reevaluating its testing strategy, but Zabel expects his lab could test up to 3,000 people a day, which would enable testing the entire student body every other week.

According to other researchers, that might not be enough.

and others in the New England Journal of Medicine said it鈥檚 time to ditch any approach that relies on highly accurate tests, and instead embrace antigen tests, which are cheap and quick 鈥 albeit less accurate 鈥 and can be administered frequently.

鈥淵ou have the science of testing, which says if you鈥檙e testing everybody twice a week, you should basically have zero cases,鈥 said Larremore, a computational biologist at the University of Colorado-Boulder, referring to modeling studies from his lab and .

But then, there鈥檚 reality. And no testing system alone will solve the problem, Larremore said, 鈥渂ecause there are humans involved.鈥

Wilusz, the CSU professor, knows how difficult this is. Often people continue shedding virus in their poop long after they鈥檝e recovered, so over the course of the semester more and more dorms have started to yield virus-positive sewage.

鈥淎nd then there鈥檚 also, we can鈥檛 stop students pooping in the wrong dorm. So one could poop in this dorm one day and then next door on the other day,鈥 she said, making it hard to know which dorm to screen with saliva tests.

Also, only about 5,000 of the school鈥檚 28,000 enrolled students live in dorms, though Wilusz said those close quarters create a high risk for spreading the disease because 鈥渢hey鈥檙e essentially like nursing homes for young people.鈥

She wonders how long students will remain game to spit into tubes before they get bored. Michigan State University researchers experimenting with paired pooling and saliva have made a habit of double-checking that students have submitted spit instead of something else. (Chewing tobacco and something the color of blue Gatorade have sullied a few CSU samples so far.)

But the shifting, multifaceted approach does seem to be helping at Colorado State. Back in September, Wilusz noticed a concerning spike in the amount of virus in the sewage connected to two dorms that collectively housed about 900 students. The university put the dorms on lockdown and tested everyone inside, revealing nine positive cases that hadn鈥檛 been found using other methods.

Now, with pooled-spit screening, Zabel said the team has been able to identify positives without locking down entire dorms, and can then use subsiding levels in sewage to confirm no infections slipped through the cracks.

The goal is to make it to Thanksgiving, when students return home. But then comes 2021. 鈥淲e鈥檒l see if we can keep on top of it,鈥 Zabel said, knocking on his desk for luck.

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